When clouds are seen, wise men
put on their cloaks;
When great leaves fall, then
winter is at hand;
When the sun sets, who doth
not look for night?
Untimely storms makes men
expect a dearth.
Richard III, Act two, Scene
three.
The Federal Court decision which led to the appeal to the
High Court in this case was handed down in May 2023. I published two posts following
that decision (link
here and link
here). In those posts I contemplated the potential policy implications in
the event that the High Court ultimately were to endorse the Federal Court’s
decision.
In early March this year, the High Court handed down its
decision and upheld the Federal Court decision. I will leave the technical
textual analysis to the lawyers, but it seems to me that the analysis I offered
in May 2023 continues to hold true in broad terms. I recommend readers re-read
those posts as they have continuing relevance. For a good summary of the
implications of the High Court decision, I recommend the brief by international
law firm Ashurst (link
here).
The High Court decision has implications primarily for the
NT, but also in theory for the ACT and perhaps other territories (link
here).
In terms of the core future policy implications, I would
nominate three related (and arguably intertwined) issues which will shape the
ultimate outcomes:
1. The
nature of the compensable native title interests that were extinguished;
2. The
quantum of potential compensation likely to flow both to particular native
title holding groups and overall; and
3. How
best to manage whatever compensation benefits ultimately flow.
As I pointed out in my previous posts, and as was
reiterated by Ashurst, the flow-on effects of this decision will take time to
emerge, and there may be an attempt by the Commonwealth to short-circuit future
litigation and potential expansion of liability by negotiation of wider
agreements along the lines of what occurred in Western Australia following the
Mabo decision. Whether these flow-on implications arise from litigation or
agreements, one insight which is indisputable is that the compensation funds
that flow will essentially be one-offs (even if they flow over some negotiated
period). Indigenous interests therefore have an incentive to prepare by
building their capability to manage significant compensation flows. The obvious
starting point therefore is to consider the feasibility of the development and
use of mechanisms and policies which deliver perpetual benefit-flows. There are
also strong arguments in favour of Indigenous interests considering the best
policy architecture for managing such flows. However, the successful implementation
of these types of arrangements are not straightforward.
Perpetual Funds
At present in Australia, we have a spectrum of governance
arrangements for managing native title benefits rangeing from the ad hoc
arrangements applying to native title payments operating in Western Australia (where
there is limited visibility of their effectiveness) through to the more
structured arrangements in Victoria where the Victorian Traditional Owners
Funds Limited (link here) provides a
financial investment service to the various Traditional Owner Trusts which have
negotiated agreements with the Victorian Government. The NT of course has its
own existing high level governance arrangements for managing royalty flows and
native title financial agreements plus a range of subsidiary mechanisms
essentially controlled or at least influenced by individual land councils or
their constituents. Obviously, the NT’s existing overarching policy architecture
will be the starting point for any consideration of necessary future
arrangements. However it is clear (at least to me) that these extant structures
are sub-optimal and require reconsideration and substantial improvement to meet
future circumstances. In the rest of this post, I seek to outline at least in
broad terms why I believe the current institutional architecture for managing
financial benefits for Traditional owners in the NT are not fit for purpose.
The Aboriginals Benefit Account
The starting point for any consideration of the policy
architecture for land rights and native title payments in the NT is the Aboriginals Benefit Account (ABA) established by
the Aboriginal Land Rights (Northern Territory) Act 1976 (ALRA). This
account is an institutional policy mechanism whose roots can be traced back to
Paul Hasluck’s time as Minister for the Interior. It involves the Commonwealth
appropriating an equivalent amount to the mineral royalty revenues accruing to
the NTG (and the Commonwealth in relation to uranium).
The ABA is effectively controlled by the commonwealth
minister for Indigenous Australians and its funds are allocated for various legislatively
specified purposes: land council administration, land council distributions to
corporations representing those impacted by mining, and various sundry costs
such as township leasing. In addition, the ALRA legislation provides for
various payments to the recently established NTAIC, now known as Aboriginal Investment
NT (AINT), comprising a one-off capital injection of $500m and three annual
payments of $60m, as well as annual administration costs. Importantly, there
has always been an element set aside for beneficial grants to the wider NT
Aboriginal community.
The ABA does not represent the totality mining related
payments to Aboriginal Territorians as payments negotiated by land councils are
outside the ABA, and so are some older trusts such as the Groote Eylandt
Aboriginal Trust established by missionaries before the advent of land rights.
Aboriginal Investment NT
According to the most recent financial statements for the
ABA (which can be found in an appendix to the NIAA Annual Report: link
here), the ABA currently holds assets valued at $1.47bn offset by
liabilities of $566m comprised primarily of the (tautologically described)
‘initial one-off endowment of $500m’ to NTAIC plus a further payment of $60m
being the last of three legislated $60m payments designed to provide funding
certainty to AINT its establishment phase. Any additional funding for the
Future Fund and/or the Community Ready Fund is at the entire discretion of the
Minister of the day. The ABA’s residual current net asset base is thus $907m. The
annual appropriation to the ABA is based on the quantum of mining royalties
levied by the NT Government which in turn is influenced by production levels in
the various mines on Aboriginal land in the NT. By far the largest contributor
to the NT Government mining royalties is the GEMCO manganese mine on Groote,
scheduled for closure in the early 2030s.
According to the AINT financial statements in its annual
report (link
here), and its Strategic Investment Plan (SIP)(link
here), AINT has allocated $500m to its Future Fund which is intended to finance
its Community Ready Fund which is used to make community grants, and to invest
in sector development and what the Plan terms nation-building investments. The
Future Fund is designed to accumulate for at least ten years with the aim of
providing a funding source into the medium/longer term. Its target rate of
return is CPI +3%. The SIP notes that the AINT Board had allocated $155m to the
community ready fund. The 2023-24 financial statements list AINT’s net equity
holdings (assets less liabilities) as just under $680m.
There are two implications arising from the legislated
framework for AINT. First, while its annual operational costs will be funded
from the ABA, the funds available for distribution from its Community Ready
Fund over the next decade will essentially be in the hands of the Government. This
is the Fund which makes beneficial grants to community organisations across the
NT.
Second, and importantly, the idea of a perpetual Future
Fund is essentially a chimera. Assuming AINT achieves its target rate of return
of CPI + 3%, then by 2035 it will have grown to $672m in 2025-dollar terms.
From there on the use of an assumed 3% returns for distribution to the
Community Ready Fund would finance a grant of $20m per annum in 2025 dollars in
perpetuity. When one considers that previous annual grant levels from the ABA
were around $40m per annum, and have recently dropped to around $25m, it
becomes apparent that unless investment returns greatly exceed the target, the AINT
Future Fund will require further endowments merely to ensure AINT can keep
doing what the ‘old’ ABA was doing.
The more general and most important point deriving from
this analysis is that the notion of establishing a perpetual fund to finance the
economic transformation that is required in the NT (and the rest of remote
Australia) is much more difficult than governments and the Indigenous
leadership in the NT (which negotiated and agreed to the legislated
architecture of the AINT) have been prepared to admit.
Implementation Challenges
The AINT was a signature reform, yet it will not deliver
transformational change as presently funded and I would argue as presently
designed. I will expand on what I consider will be necessary to drive such
transformational change in a later post. While it is possible that a future
Government will allocate more capital to the AINT from the ABA and/or that the
AINT’s investment performance will be substantially better than its target,
there is also a significant downside risk that governments will prefer to
retain direct control over the balance of the ABA (and its significant
automatic annual accretions) and/or the possibility of either poor or unlucky
financial management by AINT. Moreover, the provision of automatic operational
funding for the administration of AINT is in my view a potential structural
flaw as it removes the crucial incentive that ensures management is financially
rigorous and replaces it with an incentive to be politically attuned.
Ultimately, this may be to the disadvantage of Indigenous interests in the NT.
Apart from highlighting the challenges of establishing
financial Trusts or Future Funds that will maximise the longevity of any
compensatory benefits that flow from expanded compensation arrangements due to Yunupingu,
I wanted to focus on the ABA and AINT, because they each appear to provide a
mechanism that could be used (or arguably misused) to fund compensation
payments arising from future litigation in the NT.
When AINT [then referred to as the NT Aboriginal Investment
Corporation or NAIC] was first foreshadowed during Minister Ken Wyatt’s term,
there was widespread opposition from some quarters to its design. I was amongst
those with concerns and published two posts on this blog (link
here and link
here). One of the concerns I raised then was that the establishment of the
AINT was only partial leaving considerable funding in the hands of the
minister. Moreover, this funding discretion was unfettered as the establishment
of the AINT was the rationale for abolishing the ABA Advisory Committee. It is
now crystal clear that the Minister retains considerable leverage over the AINT
by virtue of her power to approve or not approve operational funding and the additional
endowment top ups which will be necessary merely to maintain current levels of
beneficial grants.
In my second post, I pointed to the major increase in
funding for the land councils announced by Minister Wyatt and suggested that it
was not coincidental in ensuring that the land councils supported the
amendments. I thought then, and think now, that this was a short-sighted decision
by the land councils. Whether the land council leadership realised it or not, an
objective assessment suggests that they and their advisers were outmanoeuvred
and collectively co-opted by the Commonwealth.
The most recent ABA financial statements indicate that last
financial year the Minister approved over $80m in grants to private sector
entities from the ABA (it was $60m in the previous year) [see page 186 of the
ABA financial statements (link
here)] with minimal transparency while the AINT committed in principle
grant funding of $20.6m and $8.7m (see pages 27 and 29 of the annual report)
and actually spent only $9m (see page 75 of the Annual Report). The ABA’s
revenue growth has slowed over the past year following damage to the wharf at
Alyangula, however it can be expected to continue at around $300 to $400
million per annum over the next decade. In other words, the ABA’s financial
assets are growing at a faster rate than AINT’s financial assets generally and particularly
the AINT Future Fund.
The bottom line was that the Minister retained access to
the largest slice of the ABA pie with unconstrainted flexibility to make beneficial
grants from the ABA while Aboriginal interests have through AINT gained access
to a smaller slice of the pie, with constrained flexibility and high expectations
from the communities seeking to overcome economic and social disadvantage.
Risks
The design architecture of the ABA following the
establishment of the AINT creates a significant risk that is considerably heightened
by the Yunupingu decision. Given that the ABA is funded by appropriations to be
spent for the benefit of Aboriginal people in the NT, it is theoretically
possible that the Commonwealth might decide to utilise the ABA funds under the
control of the Minister to finance any compensation liabilities it accrues into
the future because of the High Court Yunupingu decision. More likely (given
that the Commonwealth has form in this respect) the Commonwealth might seek to
use its control and the financial heft of the ABA to negotiate a financial settlement
of all potential litigation with the land councils and their constituents (either
separately or together).
We are already seeing the Commonwealth seeking to constrain
the likelihood that the land councils will ‘rock the boat’. It is clear that
the political salience of the land councils has increased in recent years as
both sides of politics have searched for ways to engage with disenchanted
voters across the NT (link
here).
The risk for Indigenous interests generally is that the
land councils have a limited policy remit and perspective yet effectively
operate as proxies for Aboriginal interests generally. The risk for land based
Aboriginal interests is that the land council leadership and bureaucracies
become increasingly vulnerable to co-option by governments. The level of payments to the land councils from
the ABA has increased considerably over the past five years. In just one year,
from 2023 to 2024, ministerially approved administration payments to the four
NT land councils rose from $109m to $138m, an increase of $28.9m or 21%. This
generosity does not come free; it has an ulterior purpose and also has an
opportunity cost in foregone investment by the ABA in pressing Indigenous
priorities.
Of course, a new conservative government might revert to
the earlier tactics and seek to dismantle what they see as the hegemony of the
land councils (link
here). Either way, Indigenous interests stand to lose out.
Way forward
In my view it is time for the Indigenous leadership in the
NT to reconsider their strategic vulnerabilities and begin to strengthen the
ramparts defending their key institutions. A key element in such a
reconceptualised strategic approach would be to focus on building stronger
governance capabilities, committing to stronger transparency (no matter how
uncomfortable it seems) as an insurance against poor governance, and working
harder to build a unified advocacy capability. Self determination is never
handed to anyone on a plate; it must be argued for and grasped. And once gained
it must be defended and used carefully. It is not possible for any group
entirely dependent on government funding to exercise real self-determination.
The Yunupingu decision is the latest in a long line
of High Court decisions seeking to remediate the incapacity and unwillingness
of executive governments through time and across the nation to address
deep-seated disadvantage, inequality and discrimination. The decision is
important, but transforming newly acquired rights for Indigenous interests into
tangible and transformational gains requires building the advocacy capabilities
to reform institutions and the political unity to protect the incremental gains
made in previous times. In both these arenas, a commitment to high quality
governance and maximum transparency will be the friend and not the foe
Indigenous interests, not least in undermining the proclivity of governments to
co-opt those whose interests they decide to ignore or set aside. There are
reasons that governments avoid transparency and seek to operate in the shadows.
Conclusion
The downstream policy implications of the High Court decision
in Yunupingu are potentially significant. The expand the footprint of Indigenous
rights in the Territories and particularly the Northern Territory. Yet taking
advantage of those rights will not be easy and will require not just the preparation
of new compensation litigation, but the development of strategically sophisticated
political and advocacy capabilities, and a preparedness to resist the
propensity of governments to co-opt emerging leaders who might otherwise constrain
their attempts to maintain the status quo ante.
17 April 2025