The
Government released the Mid Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) on 15
December 2015. It is worth quoting the introductory overview in full:
The Government is focused on building a
stronger economy to drive further gains in employment and prosperity. The 2015‑16
Mid‑Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) shows the Government's fiscal
position is forecast to maintain an improving trajectory over the forward
estimates period, despite changes in economic parameters detracting from the
fiscal outlook since the 2015‑16 Budget.
The Australian economy continues to perform
well, transitioning from strong resource investment‑led growth to broader‑based
drivers of economic activity. Employment growth has strengthened as the economy
transitions to more labour intensive sectors. While business investment
intentions currently remain subdued, conditions conducive to stronger business
investment are in place.
Building on Australia's economic growth record
requires sound government finances, continued investment in Australia's
productive capacity and policy settings that support the innovation and drive
of Australian workers and businesses. This underscores the importance of the
Government's integrated national plan for economic growth and jobs.
The MYEFO
outlines the key policy/budget decisions taken since the budget in May 2015.
Accordingly, it is worth reprising briefly the key indigenous related budget
decisions over the past two financial years.
2014 Budget: Indigenous Specific
Decisions.
The most
significant decision for Indigenous interests in the 2014 Budget was the
decision to rationalise and reduce funding for Indigenous grant programs:
The Government will achieve
net savings of $534.4 million over five years through efficiencies
resulting from the rationalisation of Indigenous programmes, grants and
activities administered by the Prime Minister and Cabinet and Health
portfolios.
Over 150 Indigenous
programmes and activities which recently transferred to the Department of the
Prime Minister and Cabinet will be consolidated into a new Indigenous
Advancement Strategy which is comprised of five programmes focusing on Jobs,
Land and the Economy; Children and Schooling; Safety and Wellbeing; Culture and
Capability; and Remote Australia Strategies. This rationalisation will
eliminate waste and duplication. Funding provided to the Torres Strait Regional
Authority will also be reduced to achieve similar efficiencies in its
administration of grants. A new Remote Community Advancement Network will be
established in the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet (2014 Budget Paper
Number 2).
The five year period began in
2013-14, and average well over $100m per annum for the four subsequent years. The
other major funding reduction was the cut of $15m over three years to the National
Congress of Australia’s First Peoples, reversing a decision taken by the Labor
Government in its 2013 Budget to allocate a further $15m over three years to
supplement the $29m previously allocated. The future viability of the National
Congress must now be in grave doubt.
On the positive side of the
ledger, the Government allocated $13.4m over four years to the Clontarf
Foundation; $2.5m to the NT Police for community liaison officers; $10.6m over
four years to support up to 250 existing renewable energy systems in remote
Indigenous communities in WA, Qld, and the NT; $54.1m over four years to
construct police stations in up to seven remote Indigenous communities in Qld,
WA, and SA; $18.1m (from within existing appropriations) for school attendance
strategy in the NT, WA, Qld, SA, and NSW; $3.8m to the AFP to continue the NT
Child Abuse Task Force for one year;
$6.8m over one year for schools with significant numbers of remote indigenous
boarders; and $25.9 over one year for Indigenous teenage sexual and
reproductive health programs.
Thus total reductions of $550m
over four years in Indigenous specific funding were offset by new
appropriations of $117m.
In addition, the Government
allocated $101.1m for the continuation of income management programs in
existing locations where funding was due to expire, and in addition added
Ceduna to the list of income management locations. These are not indigenous
specific programs, although a large proportion of welfare recipients subject to
income management are Indigenous.
2014
MYEFO Indigenous specific decisions
There were three Indigenous
related measures in the 2014 MYEFO.
The Department of Finance was provided with $31.5m from the budget contingency
reserve to fund the remediation of contaminated land subject to the Kenbi Land
Claim across the harbour from Darwin.
The Commonwealth allocated $46.3m
for ongoing funding of municipal services while it negotiated with the states
and territory and $120.9m for payment to the states and territory to reimburse
them for taking on the funding responsibility for municipal services funding in
remote communities. While this is clearly a state and territory responsibility,
the Commonwealth has funded it for many years. This is likely to be an ongoing
source of contention between the Commonwealth and the states as it seems likely
that the states will have little incentive to maintain current funding levels
going forward, and there appears to be no mechanism to ensure that they
maintain and indeed given demographic change, increase funding for municipal
services in remote communities.
The third and largest decision
was the reform of the still new Remote Jobs and Communities Program. The
measure description is set out below:
The Government will provide an
additional $94.9 million, and redirect existing funding of
$1.5 billion over four years from 2014‑15, to reform the Remote Jobs
and Communities Programme (RJCP) to implement work for the dole in remote
communities. The additional investment will contribute toward the provision of
meaningful work‑like experience for job seekers, such as house painting and
maintenance of community facilities, to aid transition into employment.
All adults aged between 18 and
49 living in remote Australia, not in work or study, with a capacity to work
and in receipt of income support will be required to participate in work for
the dole activities for up to 25 hours per week, throughout the year.
The Government is also
reforming outcome payments for employment service providers to facilitate the
creation of a demand driven remote employment service that rewards employment
outcomes, and reduces incentives to refer job seekers to training not linked to
a job.
This delivers on the
Government's election commitment. Further information can be found in the press
release of 6 December 2014 issued by the Minister for Indigenous Affairs
The Government made no mention
at the time of the source of the extra $95m. It transpired that the funding was
sourced from reductions to the allocations for remote Indigenous housing. This
was finally announced in the 2015 Budget (see below).
2015 Budget: Indigenous Specific
Decisions.
The key Indigenous related
decisions in the 2015 Budget
were the announcement of the cessation or amendment of a number of key Indigenous
related National Partnership Agreements with the states and Northern Territory.
The National Partnership on
Remote Indigenous Housing was ‘reformed’:
The Government will replace
the existing National Partnership Agreement on Remote Indigenous Housing with a
new Remote Indigenous Housing Strategy over three years from 2015—16 totalling
$1.1 billion.
Funding will be provided to
the New South Wales, Western Australian, South Australian, Queensland and
Northern Territory governments to build new houses and refurbish existing
houses in remote Indigenous communities. Funding will also be provided to build
employment—related accommodation in urban and regional areas for Indigenous Australians
who relocate from remote communities for work or training.
Funding will also focus on
achieving agreed outcomes, including increased Indigenous home ownership and
employment, and improved property and tenancy management.
Funding of $95 million associated
with the existing National Partnership Agreement has been redirected to the Reform
of the Remote Jobs and Communities Programme measure announced in the Mid‑Year
Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2014—15.
A new National Partnership
Agreement on Northern Territory Remote Aboriginal Investment was established at
a net additional cost of $61.3m. The measure description is set out below:
The Government will redirect
funding of $988.2 million over eight years to establish a new National
Partnership Agreement (NPA) on Northern Territory Remote Aboriginal Investment.
The new NPA will replace the existing NPA on Stronger Futures in the Northern
Territory, at a net additional cost of $61.3 million over four years from
2015‑16. The new NPA will prioritise schooling, community safety and
employment.
The new NPA includes funding
of $154.8 million in 2015‑16 for the Northern Territory Government to take
on full responsibility for delivering municipal and essential services in
remote Indigenous communities.
Commonwealth administered
funding of $1.4 billion, currently part of the NPA on Stronger Futures in
the Northern Territory, will not be included in the new NPA. This funding will
continue outside of the NPA framework and be administered by the departments of
the Prime Minister and Cabinet, Social Services and Health to provide services
and support for Indigenous Australians.
Other sundry budget measures
included the cessation of the National Partnership Agreement on Remote
Indigenous Public Internet Access (a holdover from the NT Emergency Response)
and the inclusion of $6.7m in the Indigenous Advancement Strategy; the
allocation of an extra $15m for payment to South Australia in return for their
agreement to fund Municipal Services in the APY Lands; and continued funding of
$10m over five years to extend ABSTUDY assistance to remote Indigenous
boarders.
The Government also allocated
a further $146.7m over three years to extend income management in current
locations for a further two years to 30 June 2017. As noted above, these are
not indigenous specific programs, but do engage a significant proportion of
indigenous welfare recipients.
2015
MYEFO Indigenous Specific Decisions
The
Government has increased investment in its remote employment reforms:
The Government will provide
$25.9 million to provide increased incentives for job seekers to work and
to strengthen the mutual obligation framework in Community Development
Programme (CDP) regions.
From 1 July 2016, a new Remote
Income Support Payment (RISP) will replace Newstart, Youth Allowance (other),
and certain Parenting Payment Single, Disability Support Pension and Special
Benefit payments, including supplements and allowances, for job seekers in the
selected regions. The RISP will be administered weekly by local CDP providers,
enabling more immediate application of financial penalties for job seekers who
do not comply with mutual obligation activities. Further, to encourage job
seekers to take up employment, the income free area of the RISP will be
increased to the equivalent of the minimum wage.
A Community Investment Fund
will also be established to reinvest non‑compliance penalties in economic and
community development activities in remote communities.
The cost of this measure will
be offset from the Indigenous Advancement Strategy over the forward estimates.
Further information
can be found in the press release of 2 December 2015 issued by the Minister for
Indigenous Affairs.
The expenditure falls in the
first two years (2015-16 and 2016-17) and savings of $22m are harvested in the
following two years.
The Government announced
further investment totaling $80m in its school attendance strategy:
The Government will invest
$80.0 million from the Indigenous Advancement Strategy over three years
from 1 January 2016 to continue the Remote School Attendance Strategy. The
Strategy seeks to improve attendance rates in targeted remote communities
across the Northern Territory, Western Australia, South Australia, Queensland and
New South Wales by supporting families and communities to ensure that children
attend school.
This measure extends the 2014‑15
Budget measure titled Remote School Attendance Strategy — extension.
The cost of this measure will
be met from within the existing resources of the Department of the Prime
Minister and Cabinet.
Further information
can be found in the press release of 25 September 2015 issued by the Minister
for Indigenous Affairs.
In addition, MYEFO announced a
cut of $17.8m to Indigenous grant programs in 2018-19 derived form an
‘indexation freeze’ and announced further expenditure on the Department of
Human Services remote services programs in 2019-20 (outside the normal four
year budget estimates timeframe).
Overall, the Government has
used MYEFO to reinforce its stated priorities in the employment and school
attendance areas, increasing expenditure in these priority areas by over $100m
over four years. However, this is entirely funded from within existing ongoing appropriations
for indigenous specific funding, and future funding reductions of some $17.8m
for existing Indigenous programs are locked in.
Assessment
I don’t propose to attempt
more than the provision of some high level observations in relation to the
Government’s budget decisions over the past two years. A full assessment would
require additional commentary on the size and allocation of the existing
Indigenous specific budget. These are reported within departmental
appropriations and are not easily identified. In a previous era, Governments
would provide an Indigenous budget summary each year but this has been
discontinued.
The measures reported above
are just the changes to the underlying appropriations and forward estimates,
and thus do not provide a complete picture of Indigenous specific budget
outlays. Having said that, the delineation of Indigenous specific budget
measures is not entirely cut and dried, for a range of methodological and dare
I say philosophical reasons. For example, one might wish to distinguish funds
provided to Indigenous groups and funds provided for Indigenous groups, or to
distinguish positive and negative expenditures in relation to Indigenous
citizens, and give greater weight to funding designed to assist Indigenous
citizens directly rather than funding designed to regulate behaviour.
Nevertheless, the decisions
reported above allow a number of high level observations to be made.
First, in contrast to the
previous Government, the Abbott / Turnbull Government has not quarantined
Indigenous interests from budget cuts. Moreover, it is clear that already
substantial Indigenous specific financial reductions for the forward estimates
are locked in. While it is not absolutely clear from the budget papers, there
appears to be a net reduction across the forward estimates over the past two
budget cycles of at least $217m.
The caveat here however is
that the Government does not always identify the matching savings options
allocated against new expenditures while it is well known that ministers are
required by the budget rules administered by the Finance Department to offset
all new expenditures with savings. In these circumstances, the extent of the
budget cuts to Indigenous specific programs could be substantially larger.
Second, when the impact of
internal reallocations is taken into account, it is clear that a much larger
shift in budget priorities is underway. In short, this entails a shift away
from remote housing programs (an area of continuing and dire need) and away from
generic funding within the Indigenous Advancement Strategy and towards remote
employment programs and school attendance. This will inevitably lead to further
contraction of the Indigenous community sector going forward.
Third, it is clear that
particularly in relation to remote communities, the Commonwealth continues to
fund state and territory responsibilities to a significant level. The stand our
examples include the funding for school attendance (what happened to the idea
of truancy officers in state and territory education departments?), remote
power generation, and policing. All of these are core state and territory
responsibilities. Moreover, it has been prepared to compensate the states and
Northern Territory generously for taking on the responsibility of municipal
services, a function which the budget papers note is a state responsibility,
but without publishing the terms of those agreements nor identifying mechanisms
by which the states and Northern Territory will be held to account for the
ongoing delivery of those services.
Fourth, while the
rationalisation and cuts to the Indigenous Advancement Strategy funding has
been the subject of much angst in the Indigenous community, and indeed is
currently the subject of an ongoing Senate Committee inquiry,
there has been very little focus on the structural implications of the budget
decisions taken. In particular, it is not clear which areas are likely to be
de-prioritised as the inexorable search for savings proceeds. While the
Government is prepared to outline its narrative on jobs, school attendance and
economic development, it is much less willing to identify where the cuts are
falling, and to provide an explanation or rationale for the decisions it is
taking.
Fifth, while it is clear that
the Northern Territory faces substantial challenges, there remains a concern
that the extremely generous decisions in relation to the NT across virtually
all areas of Commonwealth indigenous funding is designed to assist the Northern
Territory Government retain electoral support within Indigenous communities.
The centralization of decision making on funding within the Office of the
Minister for Indigenous Affairs, who happens to be a Senator for the NT,
creates a clear impression of conflict of interest.
Sixth, funding the cessation
of funding to the National Congress of Australia’s First Peoples is a
retrograde step, given that the Congress was a largely indigenous initiative
and there is no other national representative body of voice for Indigenous
interests. While Governments of all political persuasions find organisations
such as the National Congress uncomfortable, there is much to be said for
having a body which speaks for the entire spectrum of indigenous interests. It
may be that Congress will find a way to become independently viable, but it is
already clear that it is struggling to provide the quality output and advocacy which
characterised its early years.
Seventh, the Government’s
decisions to centralize most Indigenous specific responsibilities within the
Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet raises very real questions (if not
doubts) around the ongoing commitment of mainstream agencies to ensure that
their programs are tailored in ways which ensure they target the most
disadvantaged and that Indigenous citizens who are undoubtedly well represented
within that cohort are assisted to take advantage of the services available
within mainstream programs.
Eighth, the cessation of two
Indigenous specific National Partnership Agreements (the NPA on Remote
Indigenous Housing, and the NPA on public internet use in the NT), and the
removal of all Commonwealth expenditures from within a third, the former
National Partnership Agreement on Stronger Futures in the NT will have two
adverse consequences: it opens up the option of further unilateral reductions
in funding into the future, and it increases the flexibility and control of the
Minister for Indigenous Affairs in funding allocations (see the fourth point
above).
Ninth and finally, perhaps the
most important issue embedded within MYEFO and the Government’s budget
decisions over the past two years relates to the overarching allocation of
resources for Indigenous specific programs. The Productivity Commission
recently reported to Government that the Close the Gap targets were largely not
being met. In these circumstances, one must ask whether the Government’s
decision to ensure funding for Indigenous programs are subjected to substantial
and ongoing reductions, and to fund its priorities through reallocations from
within existing program allocations, while other parts of the budget are
quarantined or augmented, makes sense and is fair.
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